The foreign brokerage said Reliance Industries’ refining margins could rise to record levels of $25.5 per barrel against $9.8 per barrel in FY22 with supply shortages and lower feedback prices. Bernstein said Reliance has also taken advantage of Russian crude but that may not be a sustainable factor due to increased scrutiny.
While the oil-to-chemicals business of Reliance could deliver record earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of ₹84,500 crore – 25% higher than what consensus estimates predict, the telecom arm Jio is also set to deliver strong results due to tariff hikes, said Bernstein.
“Stage is set for more tariff hikes driven by stable industry structure and government reforms,” said Bernstein.
Reliance’s retail growth outlook has improved as the economy has opened up with footfalls at 104% of pre-Covid levels and strong store additions, the report added.
The Mukesh Ambani-led company had reported a consolidated net profit of ₹16,203 crore for the March quarter, up 22.5% compared to ₹13,227 crore for the same period in the previous financial year. Consolidated revenue grew 36.8% from the year-ago level to ₹2.1 lakh crore.
The company has also begun implementing its succession plan with the reins of the telecom business being handed over to Akash Ambani, son of chairman Mukesh Ambani. Isha Ambani could be appointed as the head of Reliance’s retail arm. Bernstein said Reliance’s retail revenues are likely to see a 30% plus compounded growth driven by strong store additions and core retail Ebitda will be steady at 10.5%.
